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BusinessWorld

BSP says it can still take monetary action amid looming inflation risks

THE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) left the door open for further monetary policy action as broadening price pressures are expected to keep inflation elevated in the near term, delaying its return to target until 2028.

Context & Analysis

The signal from the central bank is that price control will remain a live constraint in business planning, not just a temporary disruption to be absorbed after the next inflation report. For Philippine companies, that changes how they should treat borrowing costs, pricing power, and cash reserves over the coming quarters.

When monetary policy stays restrictive for longer, the most immediate pressure falls on debt-financed operations. Smaller firms with floating-rate loans, working-capital lines, or short-term maturities may find their interest expense rise faster than expected. Larger corporations can manage this better if they locked in financing earlier, but even well-capitalized businesses must reassess expansion plans that depend on cheap credit. For consumers, the same dynamic shows up in car loans, housing amortizations, and credit-card balances, which can soften demand for discretionary goods and services.

The second implication is pricing. Firms that passed through input costs once may face a second round if suppliers, landlords, employees, and competitors all adjust their expectations. This is where margins get tested. Companies with strong brands, recurring contracts, or pricing power can transfer costs more smoothly. Those competing on price in crowded markets may have to cut volumes, defer capex, or improve productivity just to keep profitability intact.

The third angle is investment timing. If higher-for-longer policy becomes the norm, projects that looked attractive under lower discount rates need revisiting. Real estate developers, infrastructure-linked businesses, and capital-intensive manufacturers should stress-test returns against a more expensive financing environment. For investors, rate-sensitive sectors may face valuation pressure even when earnings improve, because market participants reprice risk faster than company results appear.

What to watch next is not just the inflation print itself, but how quickly cost pressures spread into wages, services, and corporate borrowing. A gradual pass-through can be managed; a sudden broadening of price adjustments can force sharper policy responses. For businesses, the practical move is to keep cash buffers, review debt structures, and avoid locking in long-term commitments until visibility improves.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: bworldonline.com

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