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PhilStar Business

EastWest sees slower loan growth this year

East West Banking Corp. expects loan growth to settle at the high single-digit to low-teens range this year as the lender becomes more selective in consumer credit and shifts incremental lending toward secured and lower-risk segments amid elevated credit costs.

Context & Analysis

A bank’s decision to lean into safer credit lines is less a warning about growth and more a reminder of how much Philippine banking depends on household resilience. Lenders are increasingly weighing the quality of each peso lent against the cost of funding it, especially when household obligations are already substantial and recovery values can be harder to assess in a stress scenario. That usually means fewer facilities built mainly on future income or revolving balances and more emphasis on loans tied to property, equipment, receivables, or other assets that give lenders a clearer path if repayment falters.

For Philippine businesses, the distinction matters. A lender can remain active in corporate financing while becoming less generous on unsecured working-capital lines, bridge loans, or facilities for firms with thin margins and volatile cash flows. Smaller companies may find it easier to finance projects tied to tangible assets or trade transactions, but harder to borrow against optimism alone. That does not imply a recession signal; it often reflects normal cycle management after cycles of strong credit growth, when banks want more cushion before the next wave of nonperforming loans surfaces.

Households should read this as a reminder that bank credit is not one-size-fits-all. Borrowers with documented income, low debt service ratios, and strong collateral may continue to access mortgages, auto financing, or business-backed facilities. Those relying on multiple personal loans, credit cards, or informal repayment patterns may face tighter limits and more probing questions. The key watch items are asset-quality trends, loan composition, capital adequacy, and how central bank policy evolves. If lenders keep favoring safer paper, growth may be slower but the system is likely to be more resilient when global shocks hit local demand.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: philstar.com

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