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BusinessWorld

3.7-M housing backlog not expected to clear by 2028

THE GOVERNMENT’s housing targets are insufficient to clear the estimated 3.7-million housing backlog by 2028, and will require robust private-sector production, according to the Department of Human Settlements and Urban Development (DHSUD).

Context & Analysis

The housing gap is no longer just a social-welfare issue; it is becoming a test of how well the Philippines can convert urbanization into sustainable investment. As families move to cities for work, demand concentrates around employment centers where land is scarce, permits are complex, and infrastructure may lag behind construction. That pressure affects not only renters and first-time buyers but also businesses that depend on stable labor, reliable housing supply, and manageable commuting costs.

For companies, the implications are broad. Developers face rising land acquisition costs and tighter financing, while building-material suppliers, contractors, equipment dealers, and real-estate service providers see demand tied to both new projects and retrofitting older structures. Lenders must balance mortgage growth with credit risk, especially when household debt, inflation, or interest-rate shifts squeeze borrowers. Insurers, utilities, and local governments also matter because housing is not just walls and roofs; it requires water, power, waste management, roads, and community services. A large unresolved backlog can therefore drag on productivity by forcing workers to live farther from jobs or accept substandard conditions.

The policy challenge is shifting from setting targets to creating conditions for faster delivery. Zoning rules, building permits, financing instruments, and land-use decisions all influence whether developers can supply units at prices ordinary households can afford. In other words, the market will need not only capital but also predictable approvals, accessible credit, and sites that are close enough to jobs and transport networks to keep housing usable rather than merely available.

What to watch next is whether private production accelerates without being derailed by high rates, costly materials, or fragmented approvals. Signals include the pace of pre-selling launches, mortgage demand among first-time buyers, labor availability for construction, and how local governments handle land conversion near growth corridors. If policy supports efficient delivery, housing can become a stronger engine for domestic consumption and investment; if not, the backlog will remain a source of affordability stress and urban inequality.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: bworldonline.com

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