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BusinessWorld Economy

Coal transition policy assumes up to 5 GW of new capacity from coal plants

THE Department of Energy (DoE) said it is set to introduce a coal transition policy that will accommodate up to 5 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity from coal-fired power plants not covered by the moratorium currently in force. Energy Undersecretary Rowena Cristina L. Guevara said the new capacity will help fill the gap left by […]

Context & Analysis

The proposal underscores how Philippine energy planning is being shaped by competing priorities: keeping the lights on, protecting electricity rates, and moving toward a cleaner grid over time. For years, coal has been central to domestic power supply because it offers firm baseload capacity at a cost that can be more predictable than imported fuel or intermittent renewable output. At the same time, the country’s climate commitments, growing public concern over air quality, and pressure from lenders have made new fossil-fuel projects harder to justify politically.

For businesses, the key question is not simply whether coal plants will be allowed, but how reliable and affordable electricity becomes in the years ahead. Manufacturing, data centers, agribusiness, tourism, and small retail all depend on stable power. Prolonged uncertainty can slow investment decisions, particularly for energy-intensive firms that need long-term supply contracts. If additional coal capacity helps reduce outages or curbs rate spikes, it may support industrial competitiveness. If it delays cleaner alternatives, however, it could expose the economy to future regulatory costs, carbon transition risks, and weaker access to green financing.

Consumers may also feel the effect through electricity bills. Coal can be a cost lever when fuel markets are volatile, but its long-term role depends on how regulators balance supply adequacy against environmental obligations. The final rules will matter more than the headline concept: who qualifies for new capacity, what environmental and grid standards apply, whether projects must integrate with transmission upgrades, and how tariffs are structured to avoid shifting costs onto households.

The next watch points are regulatory clarity, project financing, and alignment with national renewable targets. Investors will look for signals that coal is being treated as a transitional option rather than an open-ended expansion. For the Philippine economy, the policy could be seen either as a pragmatic bridge to energy security or as a compromise that slows the clean transition. The difference will depend on implementation.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: bworldonline.com

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