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BusinessWorld Economy

PHL reliance on coal for power generation to continue, IEA says

THE PHILIPPINES is likely to maintain its coal consumption this year, with coal-fired power plants still being depended for baseload electricity needs, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said. In its Coal Mid-Year Update 2026, the IEA said coal demand in Southeast Asia is projected at around 574 million tons, fueled by strong demand from Indonesia […]

Context & Analysis

For Philippine businesses, the energy debate continues to center on a practical tension: coal remains the most established source of firm power, even as policymakers and investors push for cleaner alternatives. The country’s grid has long relied on thermal generation because renewable sources such as wind and solar are intermittent and often need backup. Coal plants can run continuously, making them useful for factories, data centers, malls, and households that cannot afford brownouts or sudden tariff spikes.

That dependence also shapes commercial costs. Electricity is a major input for manufacturing, logistics, real estate, and digital services. When coal remains central, fuel prices, port access, shipping costs, and environmental compliance can all feed into retail rates. For exporters competing in ASEAN markets, stable power costs matter as much as labor productivity. A firm planning expansion will still treat energy availability and tariff predictability as key location factors.

The regulatory backdrop is increasingly complicated. The Energy Regulatory Commission sets tariffs based on cost recovery, while the Department of Energy promotes renewable energy, efficiency, and lower carbon emissions. Power companies face pressure to decarbonize, but replacing coal is not a simple plug-in project. It requires new transmission lines, storage, firm generation capacity, and financing in a market that has struggled with high borrowing costs. That gap between climate goals and grid reality explains why coal may remain part of the mix longer than some stakeholders prefer.

Watch next for moves on renewable energy projects, especially those backed by long-term power purchase agreements, as well as any policy changes affecting fuel imports, carbon pricing, or emissions standards. Also monitor whether new gas infrastructure, battery storage, or demand-side management programs gain traction. If these alternatives scale quickly, coal’s role could soften; if they stall, Philippine businesses may continue to plan around a grid that is reliable but still heavily fossil-fueled.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: bworldonline.com

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