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PhilStar Business

What happens now?

Now that the Supreme Court has declared controversial allocations in 2024, 2025 and portions of the 2026 national budgets unconstitutional, what happens next?

Context & Analysis

The Philippine Constitution gives Congress the power of the purse, but it does not give Congress unlimited discretion. Article VI requires that appropriations be tied to specific purposes, be supported by law, and not be used as vehicles for discretionary spending that bypasses the regular budget process. When the Supreme Court strikes down allocations on constitutional grounds, it is drawing a line around what Congress can and cannot do with public funds. That line has been tested repeatedly over the decades, from the pork barrel system to modern variants of congressional insertions, and each ruling narrows the space for ambiguity.

For businesses, the immediate concern is not abstract constitutional law but cash flow. Government is the Philippines' largest single buyer of goods and services, and many projects in infrastructure, health, agriculture, and local development depend on allocations that are now in question. Contractors, suppliers, and consultants who were counting on certain funds to materialize into actual work orders now face uncertainty about whether those projects will proceed, be reprogrammed, or simply vanish into the next budget cycle. Smaller firms that lack diversified revenue streams are most exposed.

There is also a signaling effect. A Supreme Court ruling of this magnitude tells the executive and legislative branches that the judiciary will actively police the budget process rather than defer to congressional prerogative. That could mean tighter scrutiny of future budget inserts, slower approval of certain line items, and a more cautious Department of Budget and Management when releasing funds. In the short term, this may create friction in government spending. In the medium term, it could improve the quality of public spending by forcing allocations to survive a higher standard of legal justification.

What to watch next is how the executive branch responds. The President has the authority to veto or reprogram funds, and the DBM typically issues guidelines on releasing appropriations. If the ruling effectively freezes certain allocations, the question becomes whether Congress will attempt to reconstitute them in a different form or accept the judicial constraint. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas and the fiscal authorities will also be watching, because any disruption to planned government outlays feeds into the broader fiscal deficit picture, which in turn affects bond yields and the peso.

For now, businesses with government exposure should stress-test their pipelines against the possibility that certain allocations simply do not materialize.

Analysis by IJE Software — original commentary on the story above.

This is an excerpt. Read the full article at the original source:

Source: philstar.com

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